Chateauroux 2-7 Aubagne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 13 Dec 2024

Chateauroux
2-7 HT 0-3
Aubagne
📅13/12/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
France - National League 1 – 2024/2025

Chateauroux vs Aubagne Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.99
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
39%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.54
Over 2.5
38%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.25
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
18%
4.83
6+ Goals
7%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
5.17
1/2
8%
32.5
1/X
6%
15.1
X/1
10%
6.27
X/2
13%
4.53
X/X
18%
3.85
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
18%
3.29
2/X
6%
14.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+0.6pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.5pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-2.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
61%
+0.8pp
38%
Over 2.5
39%
-0.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.0pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chateauroux v Aubagne — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chateauroux EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Aubagne EU Bookmakers 45%
+14% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+26% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
250 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards –

Chateauroux 2-7 Aubagne — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chateauroux
2-7
AWAY Aubagne
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 12
5 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chateauroux vs Aubagne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aubagne ran out comfortable winners over Chateauroux 7-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 30% / 39% — and on the day Aubagne made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chateauroux had 47% of the ball to Aubagne's 53%, shots finished 8-16.

What was the final score of Chateauroux vs Aubagne?

Chateauroux 2-7 Aubagne in the France - National League 1 on 13/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chateauroux vs Aubagne?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aubagne win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Chateauroux 31%, draw 30%, Aubagne 39%. The final score 2-7 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aubagne) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aubagne) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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