Nancy 1-0 Orleans — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 13 Dec 2024

📅13/12/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.64
Over 2.5
41%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
2.52
2-3 Goals
37%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
4.17
6+ Goals
8%
21.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.52 — our 35% vs market 31.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.27
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.4
X/1
11%
4.82
X/2
9%
6.48
X/X
18%
3.97
2/1
9%
30.5
2/2
13%
4.97
2/X
7%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-5.4pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.1pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.4pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nancy EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Orleans EU Bookmakers 32%
-16% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +19%
1.46/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.01
+12% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +24%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
254 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nancy
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Orleans
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
15.03.2024 Nancy Nancy 1-0 HT 1-0 Orleans Orleans FR3
06.10.2023 Orleans Orleans 1-0 HT 0-0 Nancy Nancy FR3
20.01.2023 Nancy Nancy 0-1 HT 0-1 Orleans Orleans FR3
19.08.2022 Orleans Orleans 0-0 HT 0-0 Nancy Nancy FR3
POST-MATCH Nancy vs Orleans
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nancy edged past Orleans 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 32% / 31% — and on the day Nancy made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Orleans led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Nancy and 0.50 for Orleans.

What was the final score of Nancy vs Orleans?

Nancy 1-0 Orleans in the France - National League 1 on 13/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nancy vs Orleans?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nancy win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Nancy 36%, draw 32%, Orleans 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nancy), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nancy) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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