Le Mans FC 2-1 Valenciennes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 13 Dec 2024

📅13/12/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.48
Over 2.5
39%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.16
No
60%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.09
2-3 Goals
36%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
5.35
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.11
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.45
X/1
14%
4.25
X/2
10%
6.7
X/X
14%
3.7
2/1
7%
33.5
2/2
12%
5.83
2/X
7%
15.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
+0.8pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.1pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
64%
-2.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
36%
+2.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.7pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Le Mans FC EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Valenciennes EU Bookmakers 30%
-6% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.14/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.42/1.44
-21% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -60% / -8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
337 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Le Mans FC
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Valenciennes
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.17 xG 1.46
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
366 Passes 256
77% Pass Accuracy 68%
26 Box Touches 13
32 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.01.2020 Valenciennes Valenciennes 1-0 HT 1-0 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR2
09.08.2019 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Valenciennes Valenciennes FR2
17.04.2010 Valenciennes Valenciennes 0-1 HT 0-0 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR1
09.01.2010 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Valenciennes Valenciennes FRK
12.12.2009 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Valenciennes Valenciennes FR1
18.04.2009 Valenciennes Valenciennes 0-2 HT 0-0 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Le Mans FC
2-1
AWAY Valenciennes
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Le Mans FC vs Valenciennes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Le Mans FC nicked a narrow win over Valenciennes 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Le Mans FC as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Le Mans FC had 51% of the ball to Valenciennes's 49%, shots finished 17-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Le Mans FC had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Le Mans FC and 0.67 for Valenciennes.

What was the final score of Le Mans FC vs Valenciennes?

Le Mans FC 2-1 Valenciennes in the France - National League 1 on 13/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Le Mans FC vs Valenciennes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Le Mans FC win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Le Mans FC 45%, draw 27%, Valenciennes 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Le Mans FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Le Mans FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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