Eastbourne Borough 1-2 Chelmsford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 13 Dec 2025

📅13/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.33
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
32%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.23
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
3.39
6+ Goals
10%
13.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.23 — our 27% vs market 24.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
39%
+4.6pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.4pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-1.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.0pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eastbourne Borough EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Chelmsford City EU Bookmakers 37%
+1% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.23/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.06
-14% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +25%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
366 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eastbourne Borough
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Chelmsford City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.01.2025 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough 2-1 HT 1-0 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
05.10.2024 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 4-2 HT 3-0 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
17.02.2024 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough 0-3 HT 0-0 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
28.08.2023 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 1-0 HT 0-0 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
04.03.2023 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough 2-2 HT 1-1 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
29.10.2022 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 5-0 HT 2-0 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eastbourne Borough
1-2
AWAY Chelmsford City
66% Ball Possession 34%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Eastbourne Borough vs Chelmsford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelmsford City nicked a narrow win over Eastbourne Borough 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Eastbourne Borough at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Eastbourne Borough had 66% of the ball to Chelmsford City's 34%, shots finished 16-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chelmsford City led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Eastbourne Borough and 2.67 for Chelmsford City.

What was the final score of Eastbourne Borough vs Chelmsford City?

Eastbourne Borough 1-2 Chelmsford City in the England - Conference on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eastbourne Borough vs Chelmsford City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eastbourne Borough win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Eastbourne Borough 44%, draw 24%, Chelmsford City 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Eastbourne Borough) ✗ BTTS No
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