Farnborough 1-0 Salisbury — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 13 Dec 2025

📅13/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.44
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.24
6+ Goals
9%
11.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-2.3pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.1pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.2pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Farnborough EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Salisbury EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.40/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.38
-9% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
324 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Farnborough
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Salisbury
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
21.10.2025 Salisbury Salisbury 1-0 HT 1-0 Farnborough Farnborough İCON
21.01.2025 Salisbury Salisbury 0-0 HT 0-0 Farnborough Farnborough İCON
16.11.2024 Salisbury Salisbury 3-0 HT 0-0 Farnborough Farnborough İNFAT
07.09.2024 Farnborough Farnborough 3-1 HT 1-0 Salisbury Salisbury İCON
26.03.2022 Salisbury Salisbury 1-0 HT 0-0 Farnborough Farnborough İNGNLP
20.11.2021 Farnborough Farnborough 2-1 HT 0-0 Salisbury Salisbury İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Farnborough
1-0
AWAY Salisbury
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Farnborough vs Salisbury
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Farnborough squeezed past Salisbury 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Farnborough as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Farnborough had 48% of the ball to Salisbury's 52%, shots finished 16-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Salisbury led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Farnborough and 1.17 for Salisbury.

What was the final score of Farnborough vs Salisbury?

Farnborough 1-0 Salisbury in the England - Conference on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Farnborough vs Salisbury?

Before kick-off our model rated a Farnborough win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Farnborough 42%, draw 25%, Salisbury 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Farnborough) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Farnborough) ✗ BTTS Yes
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