Eastbourne Borough 2-1 Chelmsford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.8
2-3 Goals
42%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
3.72
6+ Goals
9%
16.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.8 — our 30% vs market 28.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-5.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+5.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.4pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eastbourne Borough EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Chelmsford City EU Bookmakers 29%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +19%
1.75/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/1.43
+8% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +62% / +3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
345 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eastbourne Borough
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Chelmsford City
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
49% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2024 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 4-2 HT 3-0 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
17.02.2024 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough 0-3 HT 0-0 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
28.08.2023 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 1-0 HT 0-0 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
04.03.2023 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough 2-2 HT 1-1 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
29.10.2022 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 5-0 HT 2-0 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
12.03.2022 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 0-1 HT 0-0 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eastbourne Borough
2-1
AWAY Chelmsford City
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
6 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Eastbourne Borough vs Chelmsford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eastbourne Borough squeezed past Chelmsford City 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Eastbourne Borough as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Eastbourne Borough had 57% of the ball to Chelmsford City's 43%, shots finished 11-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chelmsford City led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Eastbourne Borough and 2.50 for Chelmsford City.

What was the final score of Eastbourne Borough vs Chelmsford City?

Eastbourne Borough 2-1 Chelmsford City in the England - Conference on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eastbourne Borough vs Chelmsford City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eastbourne Borough win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Eastbourne Borough 43%, draw 26%, Chelmsford City 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eastbourne Borough) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Eastbourne Borough) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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