Hemel Hempstead Town 3-0 Truro City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.29
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
42%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.74
Over 2.5
54%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.85
No
45%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.74
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.81
6+ Goals
10%
17.4
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.81 — our 26% vs market 19.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
12%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
27%
+2.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.1pp
42%
Away Win
46%
-3.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
54%
-7.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
46%
+7.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
50%
+5.5pp
45%
BTTS No
50%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Truro City EU Bookmakers 49%
+2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.31/1.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.88/0.89
+6% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +37%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
235 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Truro City
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
05.10.2024 Truro City Truro City 1-0 HT 1-0 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
04.04.2024 Truro City Truro City 0-2 HT 0-1 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
02.09.2023 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Truro City Truro City İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town
3-0
AWAY Truro City
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hemel Hempstead Town vs Truro City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hemel Hempstead Town swept aside Truro City 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Truro City at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hemel Hempstead Town had 53% of the ball to Truro City's 47%, shots finished 10-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Hemel Hempstead Town and 0.33 for Truro City.

What was the final score of Hemel Hempstead Town vs Truro City?

Hemel Hempstead Town 3-0 Truro City in the England - Conference on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hemel Hempstead Town vs Truro City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Truro City win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Hemel Hempstead Town 30%, draw 28%, Truro City 42%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Truro City), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Truro City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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