Maidstone United 1-2 Worthing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
28%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.95
Over 2.5
41%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.36
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
3.2
6+ Goals
8%
11.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.36 — our 32% vs market 23.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
57%
-12.3pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.1pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+8.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
48%
+11.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
52%
-11.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.2pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maidstone United EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Worthing EU Bookmakers 23%
+2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +12%
1.74/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.36
-2% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / +20%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
358 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maidstone United
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Worthing
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2024 Worthing Worthing 0-2 HT 0-1 Maidstone United Maidstone United İCON
28.04.2024 Worthing Worthing 2-1 HT 1-1 Maidstone United Maidstone United İCON
16.12.2023 Worthing Worthing 5-1 HT 3-0 Maidstone United Maidstone United İCON
23.09.2023 Maidstone United Maidstone United 4-0 HT 2-0 Worthing Worthing İCON
20.12.2022 Maidstone United Maidstone United 2-0 HT 1-0 Worthing Worthing FAK
POST-MATCH Maidstone United vs Worthing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Worthing squeezed past Maidstone United 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Maidstone United at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Maidstone United had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Maidstone United and 1.40 for Worthing.

What was the final score of Maidstone United vs Worthing?

Maidstone United 1-2 Worthing in the England - Conference on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maidstone United vs Worthing?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maidstone United win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Maidstone United 44%, draw 28%, Worthing 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Maidstone United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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