Worthing 0-2 Maidstone United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
40%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.07
2-3 Goals
38%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
3.08
6+ Goals
11%
9.86
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
22%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-3.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.0pp
40%
Away Win
37%
+3.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.2pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Worthing EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Maidstone United EU Bookmakers 40%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +8%
2.18/1.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.19
+65% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
308 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Worthing
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Maidstone United
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.04.2024 Worthing Worthing 2-1 HT 1-1 Maidstone United Maidstone United İCON
16.12.2023 Worthing Worthing 5-1 HT 3-0 Maidstone United Maidstone United İCON
23.09.2023 Maidstone United Maidstone United 4-0 HT 2-0 Worthing Worthing İCON
20.12.2022 Maidstone United Maidstone United 2-0 HT 1-0 Worthing Worthing FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Worthing
0-2
AWAY Maidstone United
62% Ball Possession 38%
7 Total Shots 14
0 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Worthing vs Maidstone United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maidstone United saw off Worthing 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 26% / 40% — and on the day Maidstone United made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Worthing had 62% of the ball to Maidstone United's 38%, shots finished 7-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Worthing and 2.00 for Maidstone United.

What was the final score of Worthing vs Maidstone United?

Worthing 0-2 Maidstone United in the England - Conference on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Worthing vs Maidstone United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Maidstone United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Worthing 34%, draw 26%, Maidstone United 40%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maidstone United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Maidstone United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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