Truro City 1-0 Hemel Hempstead Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.8
Over 2.5
39%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
3.12
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.76
6+ Goals
7%
16.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.12 — our 34% vs market 26.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.3pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.0pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
52%
+9.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
48%
-9.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.9pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Truro City EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Hemel Hempstead Town EU Bookmakers 37%
-13% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +15%
0.93/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.14
-35% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
298 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Truro City
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Hemel Hempstead Town
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 0
04.04.2024 Truro City Truro City 0-2 HT 0-1 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
02.09.2023 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Truro City Truro City İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Truro City
1-0
AWAY Hemel Hempstead Town
61% Ball Possession 39%
5 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Truro City vs Hemel Hempstead Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Truro City edged past Hemel Hempstead Town 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 33% — and on the day Truro City made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Truro City had 61% of the ball to Hemel Hempstead Town's 39%, shots finished 5-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Hemel Hempstead Town led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Truro City and 1.00 for Hemel Hempstead Town.

What was the final score of Truro City vs Hemel Hempstead Town?

Truro City 1-0 Hemel Hempstead Town in the England - Conference on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Truro City vs Hemel Hempstead Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Truro City win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Truro City 38%, draw 29%, Hemel Hempstead Town 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Truro City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Truro City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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