Portsmouth 2-1 Blackburn Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 13 Dec 2025

Portsmouth
2-1 HT 0-1
Blackburn Rovers
📅13/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
England - Championship – 2025/2026

Portsmouth vs Blackburn Rovers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
33%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.92
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
3.86
6+ Goals
10%
17.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.92 — our 30% vs market 28.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
4.21
1/2
7%
29.0
1/X
5%
13.55
X/1
18%
5.97
X/2
13%
5.41
X/X
11%
4.41
2/1
6%
32.0
2/2
13%
3.63
2/X
7%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 53% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
34%
+9.6pp
23%
Draw
28%
-4.9pp
33%
Away Win
38%
-4.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.6pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Portsmouth v Blackburn Rovers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portsmouth EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Blackburn Rovers EU Bookmakers 42%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -16%
1.46/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.17
+4% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -21%
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
254 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 77%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
26.1 Crosses 14.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4

Portsmouth vs Blackburn Rovers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portsmouth
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Blackburn Rovers
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.71 xG 0.96
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
276 Passes 320
71% Pass Accuracy 74%
14 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.03.2025 Portsmouth Portsmouth 1-0 HT 1-0 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
15.01.2025 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 3-0 HT 0-0 Portsmouth Portsmouth İNCL
13.02.2018 Portsmouth Portsmouth 1-2 HT 0-1 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İN1
21.10.2017 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 3-0 HT 1-0 Portsmouth Portsmouth İN1
03.04.2010 Portsmouth Portsmouth 0-0 HT 0-0 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNP
07.11.2009 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 3-1 HT 0-1 Portsmouth Portsmouth İNP

Portsmouth 2-1 Blackburn Rovers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portsmouth
2-1
AWAY Blackburn Rovers
1.77 xG 0.80
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 6
266 Passes 212
74% Pass Accuracy 68%
21 Box Touches 18
25 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Portsmouth vs Blackburn Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portsmouth edged past Blackburn Rovers 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Portsmouth as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Portsmouth had 54% of the ball to Blackburn Rovers's 46%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 1.77 to 0.80.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Blackburn Rovers led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Portsmouth and 1.83 for Blackburn Rovers.

What was the final score of Portsmouth vs Blackburn Rovers?

Portsmouth 2-1 Blackburn Rovers in the England - Championship on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portsmouth vs Blackburn Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portsmouth win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Portsmouth 44%, draw 23%, Blackburn Rovers 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Portsmouth) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Portsmouth) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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