Middlesbrough vs Queens Park Rangers Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Middlesbrough v Queens Park Rangers — Team-Based Signals
Middlesbrough vs Queens Park Rangers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Queens Park Rangers
İNCL
3-1
HT 0-0
Queens Park Rangers
İNCL
3-2
HT 3-1
Middlesbrough
İNCL
Middlesbrough 3-1 Queens Park Rangers — Actual Match Statistics
Middlesbrough got the better of Queens Park Rangers 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Middlesbrough as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Middlesbrough had 63% of the ball to Queens Park Rangers's 37%, shots finished 18-13, expected goals 2.29 to 1.25.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Middlesbrough had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Middlesbrough and 1.33 for Queens Park Rangers.
What was the final score of Middlesbrough vs Queens Park Rangers?
Middlesbrough 3-1 Queens Park Rangers in the England - Championship on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Middlesbrough vs Queens Park Rangers?
Before kick-off our model rated a Middlesbrough win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Middlesbrough 49%, draw 25%, Queens Park Rangers 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Middlesbrough) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.