Birmingham 1-1 Charlton Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 13 Dec 2025

Birmingham
1-1 HT 1-0
Charlton Athletic
📅13/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - Championship – 2025/2026

Birmingham vs Charlton Athletic Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.53
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
19%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.8
Over 2.5
55%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.03
No
48%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.03
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
3.73
6+ Goals
11%
15.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.98
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
16.65
X/1
21%
3.91
X/2
7%
11.45
X/X
9%
5.25
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
24.85
2/2
6%
10.1
2/X
6%
19.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.85 — our 8% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Birmingham win — 60% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
61%
-1.0pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.5pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+2.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
52%
-6.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
48%
+6.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
45%
+6.9pp
48%
BTTS No
55%
-6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Birmingham v Charlton Athletic — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Birmingham EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Charlton Athletic EU Bookmakers 20%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +10%
2.09/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.59
+36% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
334 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 68%
25.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
22.9 Crosses 14.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1

Birmingham vs Charlton Athletic Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Birmingham
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Charlton Athletic
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.05 xG 0.98
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
304 Passes 275
73% Pass Accuracy 73%
22 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.02.2025 Birmingham Birmingham 1-0 HT 1-0 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İN1
05.10.2024 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 1-0 HT 0-0 Birmingham Birmingham İN1
13.08.2024 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 0-1 HT 0-1 Birmingham Birmingham İNLK
15.07.2020 Birmingham Birmingham 1-1 HT 0-0 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İNCL
14.09.2019 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 0-1 HT 0-0 Birmingham Birmingham İNCL
02.04.2016 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 2-1 HT 1-1 Birmingham Birmingham İNCL

Birmingham 1-1 Charlton Athletic — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Birmingham
1-1
AWAY Charlton Athletic
1.24 xG 1.46
61% Ball Possession 39%
24 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 3
390 Passes 211
81% Pass Accuracy 71%
22 Box Touches 15
27 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Birmingham vs Charlton Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Birmingham and Charlton Athletic couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Birmingham carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Birmingham had 61% of the ball to Charlton Athletic's 39%, shots finished 24-7, expected goals 1.24 to 1.46.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Birmingham had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Birmingham and 0.67 for Charlton Athletic.

What was the final score of Birmingham vs Charlton Athletic?

Birmingham 1-1 Charlton Athletic in the England - Championship on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Birmingham vs Charlton Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Birmingham win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Birmingham 60%, draw 21%, Charlton Athletic 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Birmingham), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Birmingham) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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