Al Wakrah 2-3 Al Gharafa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar - Yıldızlar Cup, 13 Dec 2025

📅13/12/2025 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.86
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.29
Over 2.5
64%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.53
No
39%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.53
2-3 Goals
35%
1.89
4-5 Goals
27%
2.74
6+ Goals
17%
7.41
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
50%
+1.6pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.1pp
27%
Away Win
27%
+0.6pp
36%
Under 2.5
40%
-3.4pp
64%
Over 2.5
60%
+3.4pp
61%
BTTS Yes
61%
-0.4pp
39%
BTTS No
39%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Wakrah EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Gharafa EU Bookmakers 30%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
3.61/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/2.66
+23% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -65% / -26%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 76%
37.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
34.5 Crosses 5.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Wakrah
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Al Gharafa
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.42 xG 1.55
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
309 Passes 270
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.11.2025 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah KAT
11.04.2025 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KAT
22.11.2024 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 3-1 HT 1-1 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah KAT
06.09.2024 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 0-3 HT 0-1 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah KATYK
24.04.2024 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah 2-4 HT 0-1 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KAT
02.12.2023 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah KAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Wakrah
2-3
AWAY Al Gharafa
45% Ball Possession 55%
5 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Wakrah vs Al Gharafa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Gharafa edged past Al Wakrah 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Al Wakrah at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Al Wakrah had 45% of the ball to Al Gharafa's 55%, shots finished 5-19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Gharafa led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Al Wakrah and 1.67 for Al Gharafa.

What was the final score of Al Wakrah vs Al Gharafa?

Al Wakrah 2-3 Al Gharafa in the Qatar - Yıldızlar Cup on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Wakrah vs Al Gharafa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Wakrah win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Al Wakrah 51%, draw 21%, Al Gharafa 27%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Wakrah) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Wakrah) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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