Casarano 0-0 Gelbison — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 14 Jan 2024

📅14/01/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
Over
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
47%
4-5
19%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
42%
Home Win
44%
-1.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Casarano The Market 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Gelbison The Market 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -42% / -42%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -60%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
344 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Casarano
0-0
AWAY Gelbison
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Casarano vs Gelbison
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Casarano and Gelbison fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Casarano at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Casarano had 51% of the ball to Gelbison's 49%, shots finished 12-6.

What was the final score of Casarano vs Gelbison?

Casarano 0-0 Gelbison in the Italy - Serie D on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Casarano vs Gelbison?

Before kick-off our model rated a Casarano win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Casarano 42%, draw 26%, Gelbison 31%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Casarano), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Casarano) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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