Mezzolara vs Calcio Certaldo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mezzolara v Calcio Certaldo — Team-Based Signals
Mezzolara 0-2 Calcio Certaldo — Actual Match Statistics
Calcio Certaldo saw off Mezzolara 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
This one beat our numbers. Mezzolara carried 62% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (61%) missed.
On the day, Mezzolara had 50% of the ball to Calcio Certaldo's 50%, shots finished 3-10.
What was the final score of Mezzolara vs Calcio Certaldo?
Mezzolara 0-2 Calcio Certaldo in the Italy - Serie D on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mezzolara vs Calcio Certaldo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mezzolara win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Mezzolara 62%, draw 20%, Calcio Certaldo 17%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Mezzolara), Over 2.5 went the other way.