Grosseto vs Livorno Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Grosseto v Livorno — Team-Based Signals
Grosseto vs Livorno Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Grosseto 1-1 Livorno — Actual Match Statistics
Grosseto and Livorno couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.
Our pre-match lean was Grosseto at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.
On the day, Grosseto had 61% of the ball to Livorno's 39%, shots finished 13-8.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Livorno led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Grosseto and 2.00 for Livorno.
What was the final score of Grosseto vs Livorno?
Grosseto 1-1 Livorno in the Italy - Serie D on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Grosseto vs Livorno?
Before kick-off our model rated a Grosseto win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Grosseto 46%, draw 27%, Livorno 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Grosseto), BTTS No went the other way.