LAquila 1-1 Chieti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 14 Jan 2024

📅14/01/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.17
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
44%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under
53%
Over
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No Pick
56%
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
40%
4-5
21%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
29%
Home Win
28%
+1.3pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.9pp
44%
Away Win
47%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME LAquila The Market 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Chieti The Market 51%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
274 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME LAquila
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Chieti
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 1
6 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
17.09.2023 Chieti Chieti 1-0 HT 1-0 LAquila LAquila İTD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME LAquila
1-1
AWAY Chieti
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
POST-MATCH LAquila vs Chieti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

LAquila and Chieti shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Chieti at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, LAquila had 55% of the ball to Chieti's 45%, shots finished 13-7.

What was the final score of LAquila vs Chieti?

LAquila 1-1 Chieti in the Italy - Serie D on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for LAquila vs Chieti?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chieti win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split LAquila 29%, draw 27%, Chieti 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Chieti), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chieti) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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