Montevarchi Calcio vs Tau Altopascio Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Montevarchi Calcio v Tau Altopascio — Team-Based Signals
Montevarchi Calcio 3-2 Tau Altopascio — Actual Match Statistics
Montevarchi Calcio edged past Tau Altopascio 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Tau Altopascio at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Montevarchi Calcio had 41% of the ball to Tau Altopascio's 59%, shots finished 6-8.
What was the final score of Montevarchi Calcio vs Tau Altopascio?
Montevarchi Calcio 3-2 Tau Altopascio in the Italy - Serie D on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Montevarchi Calcio vs Tau Altopascio?
Before kick-off our model rated an Tau Altopascio win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Montevarchi Calcio 26%, draw 26%, Tau Altopascio 48%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tau Altopascio) went the other way.