Fidelis Andria 1-1 USD Palmese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 14 Jan 2024

📅14/01/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.3
Draw
22%
4.95
Away
20%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under
54%
Over
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
No Pick
62%
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
38%
4-5
23%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
58%
Home Win
72%
-14.5pp
22%
Draw
17%
+4.9pp
20%
Away Win
11%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fidelis Andria The Market 77%
Head to Head
AWAY USD Palmese The Market 14%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
460 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fidelis Andria
1-1
AWAY USD Palmese
57% Ball Possession 43%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Fidelis Andria vs USD Palmese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fidelis Andria and USD Palmese shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Fidelis Andria carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fidelis Andria had 57% of the ball to USD Palmese's 43%, shots finished 6-10.

What was the final score of Fidelis Andria vs USD Palmese?

Fidelis Andria 1-1 USD Palmese in the Italy - Serie D on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fidelis Andria vs USD Palmese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fidelis Andria win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Fidelis Andria 58%, draw 22%, USD Palmese 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Fidelis Andria), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fidelis Andria) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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