Real Calepina 1-1 Brusaporto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 14 Jan 2024

📅14/01/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.29
Draw
32%
5.71
Away
20%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
Over Pick
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
39%
4-5
27%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
48%
Home Win
74%
-25.5pp
32%
Draw
15%
+16.6pp
20%
Away Win
11%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Calepina The Market 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Brusaporto The Market 14%
-50% / -50% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-20% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
427 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Real Calepina vs Brusaporto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Calepina and Brusaporto shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Real Calepina at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Real Calepina vs Brusaporto?

Real Calepina 1-1 Brusaporto in the Italy - Serie D on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Calepina vs Brusaporto?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Calepina win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Real Calepina 48%, draw 32%, Brusaporto 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Real Calepina), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Calepina) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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