Real Forte Querceta 2-1 Cenaia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 14 Jan 2024

📅14/01/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
Over
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2-3
43%
4-5
16%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
36%
Home Win
37%
-1.2pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.2pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Forte Querceta The Market 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Cenaia The Market 37%
-55% / -55% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-44% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
295 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Real Forte Querceta vs Cenaia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Forte Querceta nicked a narrow win over Cenaia 2-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; Real Forte Querceta found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Real Forte Querceta vs Cenaia?

Real Forte Querceta 2-1 Cenaia in the Italy - Serie D on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Forte Querceta vs Cenaia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Forte Querceta win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Real Forte Querceta 36%, draw 28%, Cenaia 36%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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