US Citta di Fasano 1-0 Gallipoli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 14 Jan 2024

📅14/01/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.17
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
39%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
Over
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
50%
4-5
14%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
29%
Home Win
28%
+0.6pp
33%
Draw
29%
+3.2pp
39%
Away Win
42%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME US Citta di Fasano The Market 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Gallipoli The Market 46%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
246 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME US Citta di Fasano
1-0
AWAY Gallipoli
58% Ball Possession 42%
24 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Target 2
15 Corners 7
POST-MATCH US Citta di Fasano vs Gallipoli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

US Citta di Fasano edged past Gallipoli 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 33% / 39% — and on the day US Citta di Fasano made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, US Citta di Fasano had 58% of the ball to Gallipoli's 42%, shots finished 24-7.

What was the final score of US Citta di Fasano vs Gallipoli?

US Citta di Fasano 1-0 Gallipoli in the Italy - Serie D on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for US Citta di Fasano vs Gallipoli?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gallipoli win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split US Citta di Fasano 29%, draw 33%, Gallipoli 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gallipoli), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gallipoli) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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