Wolfsburg 5-1 Mönchengladbach — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 14 Jan 2025

📅14/01/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.86
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
37%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.15
Over 2.5
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.61
No
44%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.07
2-3 Goals
36%
1.83
4-5 Goals
27%
2.93
6+ Goals
13%
8.98
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.46
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.5
X/1
11%
4.49
X/2
12%
8.28
X/X
12%
5.45
2/1
7%
22.1
2/2
16%
5.76
2/X
7%
13.9
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.5 — our 8% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
50%
-11.9pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.6pp
37%
Away Win
25%
+11.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
43%
+2.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-2.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.3pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wolfsburg EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Mönchengladbach EU Bookmakers 29%
-7% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +0%
1.45/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.92
-11% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
374 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 78%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
20.1 Crosses 14.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wolfsburg
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Mönchengladbach
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.27 xG 1.40
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
448 Passes 409
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Box Touches 25
23 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
07.04.2024 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg 1-3 HT 1-0 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1
05.12.2023 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 1-0 HT 0-0 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg AFK
10.11.2023 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 4-0 HT 2-0 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg AL1
09.04.2023 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 2-0 HT 1-0 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg AL1
15.10.2022 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg 2-2 HT 1-1 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1
26.02.2022 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 2-2 HT 1-2 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wolfsburg
5-1
AWAY Mönchengladbach
3.89 xG 1.11
35% Ball Possession 65%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
266 Passes 574
79% Pass Accuracy 89%
28 Box Touches 9
11 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Wolfsburg vs Mönchengladbach
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wolfsburg ran out comfortable winners over Mönchengladbach 5-1. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 37% — and on the day Wolfsburg made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Wolfsburg had 35% of the ball to Mönchengladbach's 65%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 3.89 to 1.11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mönchengladbach led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Wolfsburg and 2.33 for Mönchengladbach.

What was the final score of Wolfsburg vs Mönchengladbach?

Wolfsburg 5-1 Mönchengladbach in the Germany - Bundesliga on 14/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wolfsburg vs Mönchengladbach?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wolfsburg win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Wolfsburg 38%, draw 26%, Mönchengladbach 37%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wolfsburg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Wolfsburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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