Eintracht Frankfurt 4-1 Freiburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 14 Jan 2025

Eintracht Frankfurt
4-1 HT 1-1
Freiburg
📅14/01/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Eintracht Frankfurt vs Freiburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
23%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.38
Over 2.5
59%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.55
No
43%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.88
2-3 Goals
40%
1.92
4-5 Goals
28%
2.67
6+ Goals
13%
6.89
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.13
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.45
X/1
15%
4.28
X/2
9%
9.72
X/X
11%
6.29
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
20.4
2/2
8%
6.59
2/X
6%
14.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.4 — our 10% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
56%
-3.1pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.9pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+2.3pp
41%
Under 2.5
38%
+2.8pp
59%
Over 2.5
62%
-2.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.0pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Eintracht Frankfurt v Freiburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eintracht Frankfurt EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Freiburg EU Bookmakers 25%
-1% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +7%
1.98/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.65
+1% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
393 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 76%
32.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
23.7 Crosses 14.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8

Eintracht Frankfurt vs Freiburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eintracht Frankfurt
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Freiburg
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.98 xG 1.59
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
405 Passes 316
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.02.2024 Freiburg Freiburg 3-3 HT 2-2 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
06.01.2024 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 2-5 HT 1-2 Freiburg Freiburg HAZ
24.09.2023 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 0-0 HT 0-0 Freiburg Freiburg AL1
27.05.2023 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 2-1 HT 0-1 Freiburg Freiburg AL1
25.01.2023 Freiburg Freiburg 1-1 HT 0-1 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
10.04.2022 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 1-2 HT 0-1 Freiburg Freiburg AL1

Eintracht Frankfurt 4-1 Freiburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eintracht Frankfurt
4-1
AWAY Freiburg
2.47 xG 0.52
65% Ball Possession 35%
23 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 1
532 Passes 249
90% Pass Accuracy 76%
39 Box Touches 12
25 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Eintracht Frankfurt vs Freiburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eintracht Frankfurt cruised past Freiburg 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Eintracht Frankfurt as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Eintracht Frankfurt had 65% of the ball to Freiburg's 35%, shots finished 23-7, expected goals 2.47 to 0.52.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Freiburg led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Eintracht Frankfurt and 2.00 for Freiburg.

What was the final score of Eintracht Frankfurt vs Freiburg?

Eintracht Frankfurt 4-1 Freiburg in the Germany - Bundesliga on 14/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eintracht Frankfurt vs Freiburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eintracht Frankfurt win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Eintracht Frankfurt 53%, draw 24%, Freiburg 24%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eintracht Frankfurt), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Eintracht Frankfurt) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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