Bastia 0-1 Nice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 14 Jan 2025

Bastia
0-1 HT 0-0
Nice
📅14/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
France - Cup – 2024/2025

Bastia vs Nice Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.29
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
35%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.98
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
26%
3.69
6+ Goals
10%
15.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.39
1/2
8%
27.0
1/X
8%
13.85
X/1
14%
7.17
X/2
7%
4.6
X/X
14%
4.44
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.88
2/X
7%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
27%
+8.9pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.7pp
35%
Away Win
46%
-10.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.4pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bastia v Nice — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bastia EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Nice EU Bookmakers 49%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
2.12/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.02/1.88
+12% / +85% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +123% / -7%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
316 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 405 · 82%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.9
22.4 Crosses 16.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.0

Bastia vs Nice Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bastia
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Nice
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
222 Passes 442
71% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 16
9 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
20.01.2017 Bastia Bastia 1-1 HT 1-1 Nice Nice FR1
27.11.2016 Nice Nice 1-1 HT 1-0 Bastia Bastia FR1
26.02.2016 Nice Nice 0-2 HT 0-0 Bastia Bastia FR1
19.09.2015 Bastia Bastia 1-3 HT 1-2 Nice Nice FR1
07.03.2015 Bastia Bastia 2-1 HT 1-1 Nice Nice FR1
18.10.2014 Nice Nice 0-1 HT 0-0 Bastia Bastia FR1

Bastia 0-1 Nice — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bastia
0-1
AWAY Nice
1.30 xG 1.29
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
331 Passes 348
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 27
17 Crosses 19
POST-MATCH Bastia vs Nice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nice squeezed past Bastia 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; Nice found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Bastia had 50% of the ball to Nice's 50%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.30 to 1.29.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bastia had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Bastia and 1.00 for Nice.

What was the final score of Bastia vs Nice?

Bastia 0-1 Nice in the France - Cup on 14/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bastia vs Nice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bastia win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Bastia 36%, draw 29%, Nice 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Bastia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bastia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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