Guingamp 2-2 Sochaux — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 14 Jan 2025

Guingamp
2-2 HT 1-2
Sochaux
📅14/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
France - Cup – 2024/2025

Guingamp vs Sochaux Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.34
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
24%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.07
Over 2.5
54%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.06
No
50%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.72
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
2.99
6+ Goals
13%
9.76
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
70%
-14.7pp
21%
Draw
19%
+2.2pp
23%
Away Win
11%
+12.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.0pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Guingamp v Sochaux — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guingamp EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Sochaux EU Bookmakers 14%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
0.66/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/2.56
-35% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +68% / -35%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
508 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 74%
9.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.0
15.0 Crosses 12.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.0

Guingamp vs Sochaux Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guingamp
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Sochaux
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.87 xG 0.96
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
352 Passes 366
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.05.2023 Sochaux Sochaux 0-1 HT 0-0 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
30.08.2022 Guingamp Guingamp 1-2 HT 1-1 Sochaux Sochaux FR2
05.03.2022 Sochaux Sochaux 1-0 HT 0-0 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
21.09.2021 Guingamp Guingamp 1-2 HT 1-0 Sochaux Sochaux FR2
27.02.2021 Sochaux Sochaux 0-0 HT 0-0 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
31.10.2020 Guingamp Guingamp 0-0 HT 0-0 Sochaux Sochaux FR2

Guingamp 2-2 Sochaux — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guingamp
2-2
AWAY Sochaux
2.60 xG 0.69
76% Ball Possession 24%
28 Total Shots 10
11 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 3
585 Passes 153
89% Pass Accuracy 70%
48 Box Touches 12
45 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Guingamp vs Sochaux
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guingamp and Sochaux shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Guingamp at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Guingamp had 76% of the ball to Sochaux's 24%, shots finished 28-10, expected goals 2.60 to 0.69.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sochaux led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Guingamp and 0.83 for Sochaux.

What was the final score of Guingamp vs Sochaux?

Guingamp 2-2 Sochaux in the France - Cup on 14/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guingamp vs Sochaux?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guingamp win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Guingamp 55%, draw 21%, Sochaux 23%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Guingamp) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Guingamp) ✓ Over 2.5
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