Dives 1-0 Le Puy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 14 Jan 2025

Dives
1-0 HT 0-0
Le Puy
📅14/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
France - Cup – 2024/2025

Dives vs Le Puy Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
5.34
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
48%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.95
Over 2.5
56%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.95
No
43%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.33
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.23
6+ Goals
12%
11.85
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.23 — our 25% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
8%
X/2
21%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
16%
+9.0pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.5pp
48%
Away Win
62%
-13.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
48%
-4.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
52%
+4.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
47%
+9.4pp
43%
BTTS No
53%
-9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dives v Le Puy — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dives EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Le Puy EU Bookmakers 66%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / –
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
255 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 443 · 84%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Dives 1-0 Le Puy — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dives
1-0
AWAY Le Puy
0.77 xG 0.94
30% Ball Possession 70%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 7
147 Passes 425
65% Pass Accuracy 82%
8 Box Touches 35
11 Crosses 35
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Dives vs Le Puy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dives edged past Le Puy 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Le Puy at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dives had 30% of the ball to Le Puy's 70%, shots finished 8-18, expected goals 0.77 to 0.94.

What was the final score of Dives vs Le Puy?

Dives 1-0 Le Puy in the France - Cup on 14/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dives vs Le Puy?

Before kick-off our model rated an Le Puy win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Dives 25%, draw 27%, Le Puy 48%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Le Puy) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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