Marsilya vs Lille Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Marsilya v Lille — Team-Based Signals
Marsilya vs Lille Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Lille
FR1
2-1
HT 0-1
Marsilya
FR1
2-1
HT 1-1
Lille
FR1
1-1
HT 0-1
Lille
FR1
Marsilya 1-1 Lille — Actual Match Statistics
Marsilya and Lille shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was Marsilya at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Marsilya had 62% of the ball to Lille's 38%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.67 to 1.21.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lille led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Marsilya and 1.33 for Lille.
What was the final score of Marsilya vs Lille?
Marsilya 1-1 Lille in the France - Cup on 14/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Marsilya vs Lille?
Before kick-off our model rated a Marsilya win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Marsilya 43%, draw 27%, Lille 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Marsilya), Over 2.5 went the other way.