Wolfsburg vs St. Pauli Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Wolfsburg v St. Pauli — Team-Based Signals
Wolfsburg vs St. Pauli Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-0
St. Pauli
AL1
1-1
HT 1-0
Wolfsburg
AL1
3-1
HT 0-1
Wolfsburg
AL1
1-1
HT 0-1
St. Pauli
AL1
Wolfsburg 2-1 St. Pauli — Actual Match Statistics
Wolfsburg squeezed past St. Pauli 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Wolfsburg as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Wolfsburg had 61% of the ball to St. Pauli's 39%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.88 to 1.08.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Pauli led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Wolfsburg and 1.33 for St. Pauli.
What was the final score of Wolfsburg vs St. Pauli?
Wolfsburg 2-1 St. Pauli in the Germany - Bundesliga on 14/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Wolfsburg vs St. Pauli?
Before kick-off our model rated a Wolfsburg win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Wolfsburg 56%, draw 22%, St. Pauli 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wolfsburg), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.