APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs NWS Spirit Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
APIA Leichhardt Tigers v NWS Spirit — Team-Based Signals
APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs NWS Spirit Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
APIA Leichhardt Tigers
AVNPL
5-0
HT 3-0
NWS Spirit
AVNPL
APIA Leichhardt Tigers nicked a narrow win over NWS Spirit 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had APIA Leichhardt Tigers as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for APIA Leichhardt Tigers and 1.00 for NWS Spirit.
What was the final score of APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs NWS Spirit?
APIA Leichhardt Tigers 3-2 NWS Spirit in the Australia - National Premier League on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs NWS Spirit?
Before kick-off our model rated a APIA Leichhardt Tigers win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split APIA Leichhardt Tigers 55%, draw 18%, NWS Spirit 27%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (APIA Leichhardt Tigers), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.