Arda Kardzhali 2-1 Slavia Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 14 Feb 2026

📅14/02/2026 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.66
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.62
Over 2.5
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.13
No
50%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
56%
-9.6pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.9pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+5.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
43%
+6.9pp
50%
BTTS No
57%
-6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arda Kardzhali EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Slavia Sofia EU Bookmakers 21%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +17%
1.65/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.20
+5% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
339 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arda Kardzhali
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Slavia Sofia
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.08.2025 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 2-0 HT 2-0 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
22.02.2025 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 1-1 HT 1-0 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia BUL1
30.08.2024 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 1-1 HT 0-1 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
23.05.2024 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 3-1 HT 1-1 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia BUL1
06.05.2024 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 0-0 HT 0-0 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
06.04.2024 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 2-1 HT 2-1 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arda Kardzhali
2-1
AWAY Slavia Sofia
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 9
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Arda Kardzhali vs Slavia Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arda Kardzhali squeezed past Slavia Sofia 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Arda Kardzhali as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Arda Kardzhali had 57% of the ball to Slavia Sofia's 43%, shots finished 15-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arda Kardzhali had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Arda Kardzhali and 1.00 for Slavia Sofia.

What was the final score of Arda Kardzhali vs Slavia Sofia?

Arda Kardzhali 2-1 Slavia Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arda Kardzhali vs Slavia Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arda Kardzhali win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Arda Kardzhali 47%, draw 30%, Slavia Sofia 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arda Kardzhali) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arda Kardzhali) ✗ Under 2.5
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