ACV 2-2 SV Spakenburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 14 Feb 2026

📅14/02/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.08
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
43%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
Over
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
63%
1.39
No
37%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1
22%
2-3
40%
4-5
23%
6+
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
33%
Home Win
29%
+4.3pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.9pp
43%
Away Win
49%
-5.2pp
63%
BTTS Yes
68%
-4.6pp
37%
BTTS No
32%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ACV The Market 32%
Head to Head
AWAY SV Spakenburg The Market 53%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.24/2.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/2.02
-12% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -27%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
299 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ACV
0W-1D-3L
AWAY SV Spakenburg
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
16.08.2025 SV Spakenburg SV Spakenburg 4-0 HT 1-0 ACV HOLTW
01.02.2025 SV Spakenburg SV Spakenburg 1-1 HT 0-0 ACV HOLTW
07.09.2024 ACV 1-2 HT 0-1 SV Spakenburg SV Spakenburg HOLTW
02.03.2024 SV Spakenburg SV Spakenburg 2-1 HT 1-0 ACV HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ACV
2-2
AWAY SV Spakenburg
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH ACV vs SV Spakenburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ACV and SV Spakenburg shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was SV Spakenburg at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

On the day, ACV had 38% of the ball to SV Spakenburg's 62%, shots finished 11-14.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, SV Spakenburg led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for ACV and 2.25 for SV Spakenburg.

What was the final score of ACV vs SV Spakenburg?

ACV 2-2 SV Spakenburg in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ACV vs SV Spakenburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an SV Spakenburg win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split ACV 33%, draw 24%, SV Spakenburg 43%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (SV Spakenburg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SV Spakenburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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