HHC Hardenberg 3-1 Jong Almere City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 14 Feb 2026

📅14/02/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
2.23
Over
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
59%
1.53
No
41%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1
23%
2-3
38%
4-5
30%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
46%
Home Win
51%
-4.8pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.6pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.8pp
59%
BTTS Yes
61%
-2.6pp
41%
BTTS No
39%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HHC Hardenberg The Market 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Jong Almere City The Market 29%
+16% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
2.16/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/1.22
+16% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +42%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
361 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HHC Hardenberg
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Jong Almere City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.08.2025 Jong Almere City Jong Almere City 1-3 HT 0-1 HHC Hardenberg HHC Hardenberg HOLTW
08.03.2025 Jong Almere City Jong Almere City 2-1 HT 1-0 HHC Hardenberg HHC Hardenberg HOLTW
05.10.2024 HHC Hardenberg HHC Hardenberg 0-0 HT 0-0 Jong Almere City Jong Almere City HOLTW
17.02.2024 Jong Almere City Jong Almere City 1-0 HT 0-0 HHC Hardenberg HHC Hardenberg HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HHC Hardenberg
3-1
AWAY Jong Almere City
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH HHC Hardenberg vs Jong Almere City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HHC Hardenberg saw off Jong Almere City 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had HHC Hardenberg as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, HHC Hardenberg had 44% of the ball to Jong Almere City's 56%, shots finished 13-5.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Jong Almere City led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for HHC Hardenberg and 1.00 for Jong Almere City.

What was the final score of HHC Hardenberg vs Jong Almere City?

HHC Hardenberg 3-1 Jong Almere City in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HHC Hardenberg vs Jong Almere City?

Before kick-off our model rated a HHC Hardenberg win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split HHC Hardenberg 46%, draw 25%, Jong Almere City 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (HHC Hardenberg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (HHC Hardenberg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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