Excelsior Maassluis 1-2 Rijnsburgse Boys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 14 Feb 2026

📅14/02/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.17
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
49%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
2.23
Over
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
58%
1.55
No
42%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1
23%
2-3
39%
4-5
28%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
30%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
30%
Home Win
28%
+2.3pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.8pp
49%
Away Win
48%
+0.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.2pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Excelsior Maassluis The Market 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Rijnsburgse Boys The Market 52%
+3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
0.58/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.17/1.46
-61% / +78% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
282 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Excelsior Maassluis
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Rijnsburgse Boys
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 2.80
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
16.08.2025 Rijnsburgse Boys Rijnsburgse Boys 5-0 HT 2-0 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis HOLTW
08.02.2025 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis 1-0 HT 0-0 Rijnsburgse Boys Rijnsburgse Boys HOLTW
14.09.2024 Rijnsburgse Boys Rijnsburgse Boys 4-0 HT 2-0 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis HOLTW
13.04.2024 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis 2-0 HT 0-0 Rijnsburgse Boys Rijnsburgse Boys HOLTW
13.02.2024 Rijnsburgse Boys Rijnsburgse Boys 5-0 HT 4-0 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Excelsior Maassluis
1-2
AWAY Rijnsburgse Boys
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Excelsior Maassluis vs Rijnsburgse Boys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rijnsburgse Boys edged past Excelsior Maassluis 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Rijnsburgse Boys as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Excelsior Maassluis had 47% of the ball to Rijnsburgse Boys's 53%, shots finished 8-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Rijnsburgse Boys led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Excelsior Maassluis and 2.80 for Rijnsburgse Boys.

What was the final score of Excelsior Maassluis vs Rijnsburgse Boys?

Excelsior Maassluis 1-2 Rijnsburgse Boys in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Excelsior Maassluis vs Rijnsburgse Boys?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rijnsburgse Boys win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Excelsior Maassluis 30%, draw 21%, Rijnsburgse Boys 49%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rijnsburgse Boys), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rijnsburgse Boys) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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