Jong Sparta vs Koninklijke HFC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Jong Sparta v Koninklijke HFC — Team-Based Signals
Jong Sparta vs Koninklijke HFC Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
Jong Sparta 4-1 Koninklijke HFC — Actual Match Statistics
Jong Sparta swept aside Koninklijke HFC 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (39% / 24% / 37%) promised a tight game; Jong Sparta found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (67%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Jong Sparta had 55% of the ball to Koninklijke HFC's 45%, shots finished 18-15.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Koninklijke HFC led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Jong Sparta and 1.25 for Koninklijke HFC.
What was the final score of Jong Sparta vs Koninklijke HFC?
Jong Sparta 4-1 Koninklijke HFC in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Jong Sparta vs Koninklijke HFC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Jong Sparta win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Jong Sparta 39%, draw 24%, Koninklijke HFC 37%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jong Sparta), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.