Glentoran FC 2-1 Ballymena United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 14 Feb 2026

📅14/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.47
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
17%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.39
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
25%
3.26
6+ Goals
11%
11.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1.85
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
6%
17.15
X/1
13%
3.91
X/2
6%
12.6
X/X
6%
5.88
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
23.1
2/2
7%
10.8
2/X
7%
19.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.1 — our 7% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
64%
+0.2pp
19%
Draw
21%
-2.4pp
17%
Away Win
15%
+2.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.2pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Glentoran FC EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Ballymena United EU Bookmakers 18%
-7% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -4%
1.88/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.73
-10% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +1%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
392 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Glentoran FC
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Ballymena United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
18.10.2025 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
06.09.2025 Ballymena United Ballymena United 0-2 HT 0-2 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
04.03.2025 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
18.02.2025 Ballymena United Ballymena United 1-1 HT 0-0 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
07.01.2025 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRLK
07.01.2025 Ballymena United Ballymena United 2-0 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRLK
POST-MATCH Glentoran FC vs Ballymena United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Glentoran FC nicked a narrow win over Ballymena United 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Glentoran FC as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Glentoran FC had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Glentoran FC and 0.50 for Ballymena United.

What was the final score of Glentoran FC vs Ballymena United?

Glentoran FC 2-1 Ballymena United in the North Ireland - Premier League on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Glentoran FC vs Ballymena United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Glentoran FC win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Glentoran FC 64%, draw 19%, Ballymena United 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Glentoran FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Glentoran FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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