Portadown FC 2-1 Larne FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 14 Feb 2026

📅14/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
4.48
Draw
18%
3.72
Away
63%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.82
Over 2.5
51%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.95
No
57%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
19%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
34%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
19%
+0.0pp
18%
Draw
24%
-5.5pp
62%
Away Win
57%
+5.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.0pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portadown FC EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Larne FC EU Bookmakers 61%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
1.03/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/0.68
-5% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +60%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
260 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portadown FC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Larne FC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
5 Total Shots 10
0 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
07.11.2025 Larne FC Larne FC 3-0 HT 0-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
22.08.2025 Larne FC Larne FC 4-0 HT 2-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
01.07.2025 Larne FC Larne FC 3-0 HT 0-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC HAZ
15.02.2025 Portadown FC Portadown FC 2-0 HT 2-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
01.02.2025 Larne FC Larne FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
27.10.2024 Portadown FC Portadown FC 2-1 HT 0-1 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Portadown FC vs Larne FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portadown FC edged past Larne FC 2-1.

This one beat our numbers. Larne FC carried 62% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Larne FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Portadown FC and 2.00 for Larne FC.

What was the final score of Portadown FC vs Larne FC?

Portadown FC 2-1 Larne FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portadown FC vs Larne FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Larne FC win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Portadown FC 19%, draw 18%, Larne FC 62%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Larne FC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Larne FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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