Larne FC 4-0 Portadown FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 22 Aug 2025

📅22/08/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.82
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.62
2-3 Goals
44%
1.69
4-5 Goals
17%
3.91
6+ Goals
9%
18.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.62 — our 30% vs market 30.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
2.49
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
4%
14.3
X/1
14%
4.18
X/2
6%
7.96
X/X
10%
4.4
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
14%
6.65
2/X
8%
15.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
50%
+1.4pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.6pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+2.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.5pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Larne FC EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Portadown FC EU Bookmakers 27%
+6% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
1.75/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/1.73
+13% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% / -21%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
343 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Larne FC
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Portadown FC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
01.07.2025 Larne FC Larne FC 3-0 HT 0-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC HAZ
15.02.2025 Portadown FC Portadown FC 2-0 HT 2-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
01.02.2025 Larne FC Larne FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
27.10.2024 Portadown FC Portadown FC 2-1 HT 0-1 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
24.01.2023 Larne FC Larne FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
12.11.2022 Portadown FC Portadown FC 0-5 HT 0-2 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Larne FC vs Portadown FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Larne FC cruised past Portadown FC 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Larne FC as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Larne FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Larne FC and 0.83 for Portadown FC.

What was the final score of Larne FC vs Portadown FC?

Larne FC 4-0 Portadown FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 22/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Larne FC vs Portadown FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Larne FC win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Larne FC 52%, draw 23%, Portadown FC 26%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Larne FC), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Larne FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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