Larne FC 3-0 Portadown FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 7 Nov 2025

📅07/11/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
72%
1.37
Draw
16%
4.34
Away
12%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.19
No
61%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.12
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.49
6+ Goals
9%
13.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.12 — our 27% vs market 25.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1.68
1/2
3%
35.0
1/X
4%
20.65
X/1
20%
3.64
X/2
6%
15.8
X/X
7%
6.08
2/1
9%
25.5
2/2
3%
14.75
2/X
6%
24.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
72%
Home Win
68%
+3.6pp
16%
Draw
20%
-3.3pp
12%
Away Win
12%
-0.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.3pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.1pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Larne FC EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Portadown FC EU Bookmakers 15%
-11% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +10%
2.03/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/2.26
-13% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -2%
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
388 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Larne FC
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Portadown FC
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
22.08.2025 Larne FC Larne FC 4-0 HT 2-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
01.07.2025 Larne FC Larne FC 3-0 HT 0-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC HAZ
15.02.2025 Portadown FC Portadown FC 2-0 HT 2-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
01.02.2025 Larne FC Larne FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
27.10.2024 Portadown FC Portadown FC 2-1 HT 0-1 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
24.01.2023 Larne FC Larne FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Larne FC vs Portadown FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Larne FC ran out comfortable winners over Portadown FC 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Larne FC as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (61%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Larne FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Larne FC and 0.83 for Portadown FC.

What was the final score of Larne FC vs Portadown FC?

Larne FC 3-0 Portadown FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 07/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Larne FC vs Portadown FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Larne FC win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Larne FC 72%, draw 16%, Portadown FC 12%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Larne FC), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Larne FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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