FK Partizan 2-1 Spartak Subotica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 14 Feb 2026

📅14/02/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
74%
1.27
Draw
16%
5.28
Away
10%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
Over
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
20%
2-3
41%
4-5
27%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
4%
X/X
6%
2/1
16%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
FK Partizan win — 74%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
74%
Home Win
74%
-0.1pp
16%
Draw
16%
-0.5pp
10%
Away Win
10%
+0.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.5pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Partizan EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Subotica EU Bookmakers 12%
-6% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +15%
2.16/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.92
+4% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +27%
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
444 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 72%
31.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
20.1 Crosses 14.2
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Partizan
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Spartak Subotica
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.96 xG 1.23
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
418 Passes 252
83% Pass Accuracy 73%
32 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2025 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 2-5 HT 0-2 FK Partizan FK Partizan SIRP
01.02.2025 FK Partizan FK Partizan 2-2 HT 0-2 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
12.12.2024 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 2-1 HT 1-1 FK Partizan FK Partizan SIRP
30.03.2024 FK Partizan FK Partizan 1-0 HT 1-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
20.10.2023 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 0-3 HT 0-0 FK Partizan FK Partizan SIRP
19.02.2023 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 1-2 HT 0-1 FK Partizan FK Partizan SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Partizan
2-1
AWAY Spartak Subotica
1.71 xG 1.01
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
417 Passes 315
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
9 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FK Partizan vs Spartak Subotica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Partizan squeezed past Spartak Subotica 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FK Partizan as the likeliest winner at 74%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, FK Partizan had 55% of the ball to Spartak Subotica's 45%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 1.71 to 1.01.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Partizan had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for FK Partizan and 1.17 for Spartak Subotica.

What was the final score of FK Partizan vs Spartak Subotica?

FK Partizan 2-1 Spartak Subotica in the Serbia - Super League on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Partizan vs Spartak Subotica?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Partizan win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split FK Partizan 74%, draw 16%, Spartak Subotica 10%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Partizan), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FK Partizan) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SIRP More Serbia - Super League
14 Feb 2026
15:00 Napredak Krusevac vs Radnicki Nis Analysis →
19:00 Cukaricki Stankom vs Vojvodina Analysis →
19:00 Zeleznicar Pancevo vs Kızılyıldız Analysis →