Napredak Krusevac 2-4 Radnicki Nis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 14 Feb 2026

📅14/02/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
1.74
Over
41%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2-3
40%
4-5
18%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 Away Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.3pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.1pp
39%
Away Win
39%
+0.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
54%
+5.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
46%
-5.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.4pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Napredak Krusevac EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Radnicki Nis EU Bookmakers 43%
-11% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +0%
1.20/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.19
-6% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
280 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 73%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
22.6 Crosses 23.7
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Napredak Krusevac
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Radnicki Nis
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.94 xG 1.46
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
234 Passes 401
71% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2025 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis 3-0 HT 2-0 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
18.05.2025 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 2-1 HT 1-1 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis SIRP
15.12.2024 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 2-1 HT 0-0 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis SIRP
09.08.2024 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis 3-1 HT 2-1 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
17.03.2024 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 1-0 HT 0-0 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis SIRP
06.10.2023 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis 1-1 HT 1-0 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Napredak Krusevac
2-4
AWAY Radnicki Nis
1.26 xG 3.99
66% Ball Possession 34%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 4
443 Passes 204
87% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 10
6 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Napredak Krusevac vs Radnicki Nis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radnicki Nis got the better of Napredak Krusevac 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 39%) promised a tight game; Radnicki Nis found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Napredak Krusevac had 66% of the ball to Radnicki Nis's 34%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 1.26 to 3.99.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Napredak Krusevac had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Napredak Krusevac and 1.50 for Radnicki Nis.

What was the final score of Napredak Krusevac vs Radnicki Nis?

Napredak Krusevac 2-4 Radnicki Nis in the Serbia - Super League on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Napredak Krusevac vs Radnicki Nis?

Before kick-off our model rated an Radnicki Nis win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Napredak Krusevac 34%, draw 27%, Radnicki Nis 39%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Radnicki Nis) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Radnicki Nis) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SIRP More Serbia - Super League
14 Feb 2026
17:00 FK Partizan vs Spartak Subotica Analysis →
19:00 Cukaricki Stankom vs Vojvodina Analysis →
19:00 Zeleznicar Pancevo vs Kızılyıldız Analysis →