Najma vs Al Kholood Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Najma v Al Kholood — Team-Based Signals
Najma vs Al Kholood Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Najma 2-1 Al Kholood — Actual Match Statistics
Najma nicked a narrow win over Al Kholood 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Al Kholood at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Najma had 40% of the ball to Al Kholood's 60%, shots finished 8-21, expected goals 0.63 to 3.30 — on chances, Al Kholood could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al Kholood led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Najma and 3.00 for Al Kholood.
What was the final score of Najma vs Al Kholood?
Najma 2-1 Al Kholood in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Najma vs Al Kholood?
Before kick-off our model rated an Al Kholood win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Najma 28%, draw 24%, Al Kholood 48%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Kholood) went the other way.