Al Fateh 0-2 Al Nassr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 14 Feb 2026

📅14/02/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
5.91
Draw
19%
4.81
Away
65%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.89
Over 2.5
63%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
19%
6.44
2-3 Goals
37%
2.13
4-5 Goals
27%
2.42
6+ Goals
17%
4.76
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 6.44 — our 19% vs market 10.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
11%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
36%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Al Nassr win — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
14%
+1.7pp
19%
Draw
18%
+1.3pp
65%
Away Win
68%
-3.1pp
37%
Under 2.5
31%
+6.2pp
63%
Over 2.5
69%
-6.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.2pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Fateh EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Nassr EU Bookmakers 72%
+9% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -1%
1.31/2.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.35/0.83
+48% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +12%
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
252 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 458 · 85%
17.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 35.0
16.2 Crosses 22.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Fateh
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Al Nassr
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
1.17 xG 3.00
39% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 7
267 Passes 468
79% Pass Accuracy 88%
20 Box Touches 42
14 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.10.2025 Al Nassr Al Nassr 5-1 HT 1-0 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
26.05.2025 Al Fateh Al Fateh 3-2 HT 1-1 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
26.01.2025 Al Nassr Al Nassr 3-1 HT 1-0 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
17.02.2024 Al Nassr Al Nassr 2-1 HT 1-1 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
25.08.2023 Al Fateh Al Fateh 0-5 HT 0-2 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
31.05.2023 Al Nassr Al Nassr 3-0 HT 1-0 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Fateh
0-2
AWAY Al Nassr
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
250 Passes 259
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
POST-MATCH Al Fateh vs Al Nassr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nassr got the better of Al Fateh 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Nassr as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Fateh had 51% of the ball to Al Nassr's 49%, shots finished 11-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Nassr led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Fateh and 3.33 for Al Nassr.

What was the final score of Al Fateh vs Al Nassr?

Al Fateh 0-2 Al Nassr in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Fateh vs Al Nassr?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Nassr win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Al Fateh 16%, draw 19%, Al Nassr 65%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nassr) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Nassr) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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