Al Riyadh 1-1 Al Khaleej — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 14 Feb 2026

📅14/02/2026 · 🕒16:55 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.32
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
48%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.41
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
25%
3.25
6+ Goals
11%
11.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
27%
-0.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
48%
Away Win
47%
+0.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.0pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Riyadh EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Khaleej EU Bookmakers 51%
+2% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
1.03/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/1.32
-15% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +78% / +23%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
287 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 80%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
25.9 Crosses 11.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Riyadh
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Al Khaleej
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
0.98 xG 1.58
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
309 Passes 369
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2025 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 4-1 HT 2-1 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh SUUD
10.05.2025 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 1-2 HT 1-0 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh SUUD
09.01.2025 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 2-2 HT 0-1 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD
27.05.2024 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 1-2 HT 0-0 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh SUUD
16.12.2023 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Riyadh
1-1
AWAY Al Khaleej
1.57 xG 0.78
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
251 Passes 370
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 29
26 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Al Riyadh vs Al Khaleej
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Riyadh and Al Khaleej shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Al Khaleej at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Al Riyadh had 44% of the ball to Al Khaleej's 56%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 1.57 to 0.78.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Al Riyadh and 1.80 for Al Khaleej.

What was the final score of Al Riyadh vs Al Khaleej?

Al Riyadh 1-1 Al Khaleej in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Riyadh vs Al Khaleej?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Khaleej win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Al Riyadh 26%, draw 26%, Al Khaleej 48%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Khaleej), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Khaleej) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SUUD More Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League
14 Feb 2026
18:35 Najma vs Al Kholood Analysis →
20:30 Al Fateh vs Al Nassr Analysis →