Bregenz 2-1 Amstetten — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 14 Mar 2025

📅14/03/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
31%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.15
Over 2.5
59%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.55
No
40%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.96
2-3 Goals
37%
1.81
4-5 Goals
28%
2.87
6+ Goals
13%
8.68
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.7
1/2
8%
24.7
1/X
8%
12.7
X/1
12%
5.96
X/2
13%
5.74
X/X
12%
5.28
2/1 EV+ ✓
9%
25.5
2/2
10%
3.5
2/X
6%
12.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 9% vs market 1.9%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
37%
+6.1pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.6pp
31%
Away Win
38%
-6.7pp
41%
Under 2.5
43%
-1.8pp
59%
Over 2.5
57%
+1.8pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.7pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bregenz EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Amstetten EU Bookmakers 42%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +3%
1.84/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.11/1.45
+26% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -12%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
278 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bregenz
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Amstetten
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 7
7 Corners 4
30.08.2024 Amstetten Amstetten 1-2 HT 1-1 Bregenz Bregenz AU2
24.02.2024 Bregenz Bregenz 0-1 HT 0-1 Amstetten Amstetten AU2
05.08.2023 Amstetten Amstetten 1-2 HT 0-1 Bregenz Bregenz AU2
POST-MATCH Bregenz vs Amstetten
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bregenz squeezed past Amstetten 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bregenz as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Bregenz had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Bregenz and 1.00 for Amstetten.

What was the final score of Bregenz vs Amstetten?

Bregenz 2-1 Amstetten in the Austria - 1st Division on 14/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bregenz vs Amstetten?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bregenz win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Bregenz 43%, draw 26%, Amstetten 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bregenz), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bregenz) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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