St. Pölten 3-3 First Vienna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 14 Mar 2025

St. Pölten
3-3 HT 0-0
First Vienna
📅14/03/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Austria - 1st Division – 2024/2025

St. Pölten vs First Vienna Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.82
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
1.95
Over 2.5
59%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.73
No
44%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
3.34
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.22
6+ Goals
13%
11.65
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.22 — our 26% vs market 24.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.45
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.55
X/1
19%
4.45
X/2
11%
8.19
X/X
9%
5.04
2/1
6%
23.0
2/2
13%
6.24
2/X
7%
14.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
51%
-6.2pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.1pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+6.3pp
41%
Under 2.5
48%
-7.0pp
59%
Over 2.5
52%
+7.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
54%
+2.7pp
44%
BTTS No
46%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

St. Pölten v First Vienna — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Pölten EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY First Vienna EU Bookmakers 28%
-5% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +19%
1.58/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.15
-7% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +46%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
301 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 72%
38.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
13.0 Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8

St. Pölten vs First Vienna Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Pölten
2W-1D-3L
AWAY First Vienna
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.08.2024 First Vienna First Vienna 2-1 HT 0-1 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
05.04.2024 First Vienna First Vienna 7-3 HT 5-0 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
15.09.2023 St. Pölten St. Pölten 1-2 HT 0-0 First Vienna First Vienna AU2
07.04.2023 St. Pölten St. Pölten 3-1 HT 0-0 First Vienna First Vienna AU2
05.08.2022 First Vienna First Vienna 1-1 HT 1-0 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
10.05.2014 St. Pölten St. Pölten 1-0 HT 1-0 First Vienna First Vienna AU2

St. Pölten 3-3 First Vienna — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Pölten
3-3
AWAY First Vienna
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH St. Pölten vs First Vienna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Pölten and First Vienna couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 0-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was St. Pölten at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, St. Pölten had 51% of the ball to First Vienna's 49%, shots finished 14-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, First Vienna led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for St. Pölten and 2.17 for First Vienna.

What was the final score of St. Pölten vs First Vienna?

St. Pölten 3-3 First Vienna in the Austria - 1st Division on 14/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Pölten vs First Vienna?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Pölten win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split St. Pölten 45%, draw 25%, First Vienna 31%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (St. Pölten) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (St. Pölten) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AU2 More Austria - 1st Division
14 Mar 2025
20:00 Sturm Graz II vs FC Liefering Analysis →
20:00 Rapid Wien II vs Admira Wacker Analysis →
20:00 Floridsdorfer AC vs Austria Lustenau Analysis →
20:00 SV Horn vs Stripfing Analysis →
20:00 Bregenz vs Amstetten Analysis →