Ajaccio 2-1 Red Star FC 93 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 14 Mar 2025

📅14/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.47
Draw
26%
2.83
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.45
Over 2.5
43%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.13
No
59%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.06
2-3 Goals
45%
1.79
4-5 Goals
16%
5.79
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.93
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.0
X/1
15%
5.21
X/2
10%
5.79
X/X
15%
3.36
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
17%
4.62
2/X
6%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+3.6pp
26%
Draw
32%
-5.5pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
65%
-8.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
35%
+8.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.5pp
59%
BTTS No
57%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajaccio EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Red Star FC 93 EU Bookmakers 34%
+7% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -20%
1.39/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.16
+7% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -65% / -8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
299 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 74%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
18.9 Crosses 17.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajaccio
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Red Star FC 93
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.36 xG 0.94
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
420 Passes 260
81% Pass Accuracy 73%
17 Box Touches 10
26 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.08.2024 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 1-0 HT 1-0 Ajaccio Ajaccio FR2
08.03.2019 Ajaccio Ajaccio 0-0 HT 0-0 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 FR2
05.10.2018 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 2-0 HT 1-0 Ajaccio Ajaccio FR2
06.02.2017 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 2-0 HT 1-0 Ajaccio Ajaccio FR2
09.09.2016 Ajaccio Ajaccio 1-2 HT 1-0 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 FR2
08.04.2016 Ajaccio Ajaccio 1-2 HT 1-0 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajaccio
2-1
AWAY Red Star FC 93
1.50 xG 0.84
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
230 Passes 282
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ajaccio vs Red Star FC 93
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajaccio edged past Red Star FC 93 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ajaccio as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ajaccio had 47% of the ball to Red Star FC 93's 53%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.50 to 0.84.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Red Star FC 93 led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Ajaccio and 1.50 for Red Star FC 93.

What was the final score of Ajaccio vs Red Star FC 93?

Ajaccio 2-1 Red Star FC 93 in the France - Ligue 2 on 14/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajaccio vs Red Star FC 93?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ajaccio win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ajaccio 41%, draw 26%, Red Star FC 93 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ajaccio) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ajaccio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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