Amiens SC 2-1 Caen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 14 Mar 2025

📅14/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
40%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.67
Over 2.5
50%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.63
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
4.16
6+ Goals
9%
20.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.59
1/2
11%
29.5
1/X
7%
13.65
X/1
10%
6.13
X/2
9%
5.07
X/X
13%
4.09
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
20%
3.42
2/X
6%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+1.5pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.1pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+1.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.2pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amiens SC EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Caen EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -3%
0.97/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.09
-30% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -29%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
318 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 78%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
16.9 Crosses 18.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amiens SC
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Caen
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.81 xG 1.30
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
352 Passes 372
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.09.2024 Caen Caen 2-1 HT 1-1 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR2
10.02.2024 Caen Caen 2-0 HT 0-0 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR2
19.12.2023 Amiens SC Amiens SC 0-0 HT 0-0 Caen Caen FR2
20.05.2023 Amiens SC Amiens SC 1-3 HT 1-1 Caen Caen FR2
10.09.2022 Caen Caen 3-1 HT 0-0 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR2
16.04.2022 Caen Caen 1-1 HT 0-0 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amiens SC
2-1
AWAY Caen
0.66 xG 0.66
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
283 Passes 326
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Amiens SC vs Caen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amiens SC squeezed past Caen 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 26% / 40%) promised a tight game; Amiens SC found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Amiens SC had 47% of the ball to Caen's 53%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 0.66 to 0.66.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Caen led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Amiens SC and 1.83 for Caen.

What was the final score of Amiens SC vs Caen?

Amiens SC 2-1 Caen in the France - Ligue 2 on 14/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amiens SC vs Caen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Caen win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Amiens SC 34%, draw 26%, Caen 40%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Caen) ✗ BTTS No
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