Troyes vs Guingamp Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Troyes v Guingamp — Team-Based Signals
Troyes vs Guingamp Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Guingamp
FR2
1-0
HT 0-0
Guingamp
FR2
1-2
HT 0-1
Troyes
FR2
0-1
HT 0-0
Troyes
FR2
Troyes 0-1 Guingamp — Actual Match Statistics
Guingamp squeezed past Troyes 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 33%) promised a tight game; Guingamp found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Troyes had 51% of the ball to Guingamp's 49%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 1.22 to 1.40.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Troyes had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Troyes and 1.00 for Guingamp.
What was the final score of Troyes vs Guingamp?
Troyes 0-1 Guingamp in the France - Ligue 2 on 14/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Troyes vs Guingamp?
Before kick-off our model rated a Troyes win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Troyes 39%, draw 27%, Guingamp 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Troyes) went the other way.